While at IBM’s Smarter Computing Summit last week at the tony Pinehurst golf resort, I had the great pleasure of hearing IBM’s Bernie Meyerson talk about limits to today’s tech, and the associated implications. Bernie is IBM’s VP of Innovation and one of the rare technologist/scientist types who can clearly and directly explain highly technical concepts in a way that they can be understood by a reasonably intelligent grey squirrel (and me too).
Even better, he’s highly entertaining and doesn’t hedge when it comes to stating what’s what in the world. Back in 2003 he predicted that Intel would never deliver on their fast CPU (4-5 Ghz) promises and would, in fact, be forced to shift to multi-core processors.
Meyerson backed up his brash prediction (it was plenty brash back then) by sharing electron microscope images of individual atoms that showed they’re kind of lumpy. The problem with lumpy atoms is that when you use only a handful of them to build gates, they leak current like a sieve. When asked about this, Intel denied, denied, denied, that there was a problem – right up to the point when they announced they were scrapping their entire product strategy in favor of a multi-core approach.
So when Meyerson talks, I pay attention. And Meyerson is talking again.
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